[August 8, 2020] The ultimate goal of any leader is to lead people from Point A (a less desirable place) to Point B (a better place). The “how” is what leadership is all about. When there is a point in the future no sane person wants to get to, the best leaders develop a strategy, gathers resources, and lead people to an alternative. What to do about Iran’s nuke strategy will soon be an unavoidable Pink Flamingo event. What to do about it is the question of today.
Discussions involving how to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons are many. But no international organization has dealt with the question of how to prepare for that day. The struggle in the Middle East between Iraq (or its proxies) and the region is a battle for supremacy. It’s not new and will not go away anytime soon.
Iran’s central objective is not the destruction of Israel, although that goal is not far from the minds of its leaders. More important is their continued existence. A nuclear blast in Israel at the hands of Iran’s leadership will promptly lead to Iran’s end. The objective of Iran is to render the regime immune to external attack as it pursues its quest for regional hegemony.1
There is no question that individual Middle East states, notably including Israel, along with other European and American countries, must prepare themselves for the prospect of a nuclear Iran. The atomic world is already perilous. Current estimates are that 10,000 nuclear warheads are scattered across the globe. Likewise, 51 nuclear devices have been lost entirely, their whereabouts unknown.
Our international community, mostly represented by the United Nations, has its head in the sand. Individual countries that fail to properly plan for such a Pink Flamingo incident will lead to disaster. Some argue that a single or small number of nuclear strikes is not an endgame for any military. But the level of destruction will stretch the resources of any country.
The most crucial element in preparedness is good communication with the citizenry. Those educated on how to survive temporarily without power, food, and water will be better off in such a nuclear scenario. Panic is a problem that can be largely overcome with proper training and preparation.
Our current policy of silence on what can and should be done in case of a nuclear emergency is wrong. Indeed, a chance of a nuke attack from Iran is small, but the possibility rises with increased instability in the Middle East. America is a world leader. Its leadership should be investing heavily in preparedness now and not wait until the Pink Flamingo rises.