[January 1, 2019] Each year I take a little time to gaze into the murky crystal ball of the future and attempt to predict what hot leadership topics will be available for us to discuss. Why should I do this prediction thing, even when those prognostications turn out to be wrong? Well, I get to put my thinking cap on and, besides, predicting the future is a lot of fun and educational.
“It will soon be possible to transmit wireless messages all over the world so simply that any individual can own and operate his own apparatus.”- Nikola Tesla, famed Serbian American engineer and inventor, in 1909
Don’t you just love Nikola Tesla? He was so right about so many things.
I’ll be using the categories I established in 2017. And as usual, I will only list the top three items in each category.
Politics and Diplomacy:
- The rise of China and Russia as a political, economic, and military power, and as a spoiler
- The rise of Western “liberalism” and the gridlock it entails
- Islamic Terrorism and how to undermine it without appearing Islamophobic
Economics and Business:
- The decline of the United Nations; its ineffectiveness, corruption, and for embracing an anti-Western stance
- Continued worsening of economic conditions among failed nation states and spin-off wars
- Climate change and the debate over the cost and its real scientific foundations
- The impact of technology on terrorist methodologies and the prevention of black swan events
- Increasing lethality of weapon systems and the moral dilemma it supposes
- Ethical and proper use of military forces, as well as, reevaluating age-old alliances
- Increasing introspection on race, gender, and religious affiliation
- Political correctness and its corrosive effect on society
- The continued decline of religion, the family, formal education, and other societal supporting institutions
… and here are a few that I don’t believe will be as big an issued but important:
- The rise of the ideology of Socialism (and its variants)
- The explosion of advanced technology (e.g., deepfake videos) and its legal and ethical implications
- The rise and fall of the media; captivation of its techniques and loss of investors
- Increased use of violence to achieve political ends