China is Doomed to Fail

By | September 19, 2023

[September 19, 2023]  China is doomed.  There is hardly a better word for it, and now the world knows it.  The Chinese Communist economic model, highly touted by Western sycophants, is unsustainable.  But just a few years ago, we were told China would overtake the United States and crush us economically.  That was a lie and always has been one.

Official economic mismanagement, corruption, out-of-control debt, and destruction of the environment are significant factors that alone will guarantee the collapse of China.  Too many Americans have been willfully blind to these endemic issues that have plagued China for the past 50 years.  These alone are a killing virus that pushes China ever more deeply into chaos as each year passes.

It is the malicious destruction of its families by the Communists that ensures China will not just collapse but may never rise.  China’s one-child policy forcefully removed “some 400 million of the most productive, hardworking, enterprising people on the planet.” [see China’s Ticking Baby Time Bomb, link here].

Abortion is the primary tool used by the Communist government to bring their population growth under control.  The unintended consequence has been creating a culture where children are not valued but seen as expensive toys.  Recognizing the failure of the one-child policy, their government ended it and predicted a birthrate recovery.  Not only did that not happen, but the birthrate continued to fall.

China has one of the lowest birth rates in the world at an official number of 1.09 (2.1 is the replacement level).  Like most Communist countries, the CCP lies about its statistics to make itself look better.  The actual fertility rate is undoubtedly lower.  China claims its population is 1.41 billion people.  U.S. demographers estimate the actual number is closer to 1.28 million.  The 130 million difference would be people in childbearing age groups.  The result can only be catastrophic.  India is now the largest country in the world.

Last year in December, I wrote that, “By 2030 there will be more retirees than workers, and by 2050, the entire population of China will drop to below 650 million.  This means that this is the decade that the Chinese economic system will collapse, assuming nothing else will go wrong.” [see link here]  And, it looks like everything is going wrong.

Chairman Xi’s total control of the country is crushing innovation, flexibility in the economy, and slow or unresponsive decision-making.  Now, Xi’s leadership no longer matters; the mistakes are fatal and already made.  And, it doesn’t matter what creative policies Xi decides to create, it is too late.  China is doomed to fail.  There is nothing anyone can do about it.


Please read my books:

  1. “55 Rules for a Good Life,” on Amazon (link here).
  2. “Our Longest Year in Iraq,” on Amazon (link here).
Author: Douglas R. Satterfield

Hello. I provide one article every day. My writings are influenced by great thinkers such as Friedrich Nietzsche, Karl Jung, Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, Jean Piaget, Erich Neumann, and Jordan Peterson, whose insight and brilliance have gotten millions worldwide to think about improving ourselves. Thank you for reading my blog.

24 thoughts on “China is Doomed to Fail

  1. Len Jakosky

    For those who have a doubt about what Gen. Satterfield is writing here, then go out and look for other sources. They are every where. I highly recommend Peter Zeihen.

  2. José Luis Rodriguez

    It is true enough that China is about to fall. Personally, China could crash tomorrow and most of us would be better off, esp those living in the 3rd world where China is taking advantage of their corruption. But my concern is how that crash (slow crash or fast) is going to impact the rest of the world. Good riddance to China.

    1. Emma Archambeau

      Ouch, Jose, tell us what you think. Altho, I must admit I agree fully with you. Ouch.

      1. Jerome Smith

        Jose and Emma, good points but Emma has highlighted what many world leaders think too. What will happen to us when China crashes and what will Xi do? Will he invade Taiwan? Will he use nukes? Will Xi be assassinated? Well, no one knows the answer to that and the “experts” are always WRONG.

      2. Willie Strumburger

        The “fall” of China will have may unexpected consequences. We have leaders who should be thinking about this and making preparations.

  3. Bobby Joe

    Excellent article. Makes me think about how government tinkering in social affairs can be fatal.

  4. Pink Cloud

    “Abortion is the primary tool used by the Communist government to bring their population growth under control. The unintended consequence has been creating a culture where children are not valued but seen as expensive toys. – Gen. Doug Satterfield
    Nailed it ……………………………

  5. docwatson

    ✔✔✔✔ Yes, indeed, China is destined to fail as a country and there is nothing anyone can do about it because the main force causing the decline is demographic. All the other problems nipping at their heels will only aggravate the demographic decline. BTW, listen to podcasts about women over 27 being unable to find husbands despite there being an imbalance of men in the majority of the population.

    1. Wendy Holmes

      Excellent info, docwatson, and thanks for that. What I find amazing is these trends crushing China have bee visible for over a decade and yet no one thought it could happen. China is a bad actor on the international order. I’m happy they are in free fall.

      1. Cat A Miss

        Yes, they are getting what they deserve. Too bad the elder population in China is dying off, they were pro-American because we saved them in WWII. Their kids are punks and don’t know their own history.

  6. Delf "Jelly" Bryce

    Gen. Satterfield, thanks for helping bring reality to the “experts” in Washington DC who predicted the rise of China and that that country would crush the United States and be world dominating in all economic platforms, social and political. Those so-called experts were wrong. Of course, they will be making excuses like America is racist for pointing out the obvious but those are just political radical leftists who love Marx and his ilk that parade around in a costume as sycophants of communism. Of course, what else would be expect from them as they are educated in our woke colleges learning nothing but Marxist ideologist and how that will save us. Yeah, right!

    1. corralesdon

      Jelly, great to see you on Gen. Satterfield’s blog again. I hope you write another article soon. ✔

  7. Don Snow

    Your blog is the very best, Gen. Satterfield, thank you and for this article.

  8. Fred Weber

    ….. and China’s wages have increased 15% in the last 20 years (Peter Zeihen). So their economic model of being highly competitive is eroding fast.

    1. Wild Bill

      And crushing innovation.
      Assassinating & jailing possible competitors to Xi.
      Too slow removing the one-child policy.

      1. Eva Easterbrooke

        Yep, and the Western economics who predicted otherwise are just Communist wannabes.

      2. Edward M. Kennedy, III

        Yep, thanks for that note.
        But if you want to see howto really get along with a good life (even if you live in China), then read gen. Satterfield’s booik “55 Rules for a Good Life” and you won’t regret it.


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